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30 November 2007 1830 hrs GMT
No Justice in West Indies?

Observing the poor performance by West Indies in today's One-Day International, I decided to do some of the same kind of projecting I did for England for the West Indies. I thought I'd start with the bowlers, because the omission of Corey Collymore looked to me at first glance as something of a mistake. Of course, we all know that Collymore's 'stuff' (to use a baseball term) is lacking for the international arena, but nonetheless the man produces results. Here's a list of my projections for the West Indies bowlers, plus Collymore, rendered anonymous.

			Player  	Average		Economy		Strike Rate
			A		55.29		3.04		101.34
			B		37.57		2.94		 70.61
			C		30.25		2.89		 57.82
			D		38.49		3.73		 58.36
			E		38.74		2.63		 81.28
			F		47.90		3.26		 81.87
			G		34.65		3.22		 59.85

(Projections are based on a weighted average of performances during the last three years, plus a regression element.) Well, I'm not going to tell you which is which, but rather ask you which of the five bowlers you'd leave out. If you ask me, Player A isn't offering very much, except as a change bowler or reserve. You might be shocked if I told you who he was, but he's definitely on the tour.



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